2022年9月14日，由青岛海洋科学与技术国家实验室发展中心牵头承担的国家重点研发计划“全球变化及应对”重点专项“全球变化背景下西太平洋环流与ENSO变异及气候预测研究”（2020YFA0608800）项目在青岛召开项目中期自查会议，会议聚焦专项与项目的研究目标及内容，对课题中期执行情况进行检查和评议。

　　项目跟踪专家中国气象科学研究院翟盘茂研究员和国家海洋环境预报中心王辉研究员，南京信息工程大学王会军院士、自然资源部第二海洋研究所陈大可院士、兰州大学黄建平院士等12位专家组成项目自查专家组，王会军院士担任专家组组长。青岛海洋科学与技术国家实验室发展中心领导庄志猛副主任及青岛科技局相关领导出席了会议。项目和课题负责人及骨干线上、线下70余人参加了本次会议。

　　会上，项目负责人袁东亮对各位专家表示热烈的欢迎，并对项目总体情况进行介绍。发展中心庄志猛副主任作为项目承担单位领导感谢各位专家百忙之中参会对项目给予指导与把关。

　　课题负责人汇报了课题中期执行情况。与会专家认真听取汇报，充分肯定各课题取得的进展，同时提出了项目和各课题目前存在的问题，给出指导意见和建议。项目负责人对参会专家的宝贵建议表示感谢，并指出，项目将进一步加强交流合作，聚焦形成亮点成果，高质量完成项目研究任务。

　　下午，项目骨干进行了亮点成果汇报，项目组围绕与会专家提出的建议及项目下阶段计划开展研讨，通过本次项目中期自查会议，项目和课题负责人及骨干进一步加强交流、密切合作，凝练科学问题和成果的意识进一步加强，为高质量完成项目研究任务奠定基础。

项目主要成果：

1. Li, M., Yuan, D.*, Gordon, A. L., Gruenburg, L., Li, X., Li, R., Yin, X., Yang, Y.*, Corvianatie, C., Wei, J., Yang, S. 2021: A strong sub-thermocline intrusion of the North Equatorial Subsurface Current into the Makassar Strait in 2016-2017. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL092505, 10.1029/2021GL092505 （第一标注）

2. Sun, J., Zhang, L. *, & Hu, D. 2022: Decadal and long-term variability of sea level in the Southwestern Pacific during 1948–2018. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL098747. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL098747（第一标注）

3. Jing Wang, Shouwen Zhang*, Hua Jiang, D. Yuan*, 2022: Efects of 2019 subsurface Indian Ocean initialization on the forecast of the 2020/2021 La Niña event.Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06442-7 （第一标注）

4. Jia, F., Cai, W.*, Gan, B., Wu, L.* & Di Lorenzo, E. 2021: Enhanced North Pacific impact on El Niño/Southern Oscillation under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01139-x. （整体第二标注；个人第一标注）

5. Wang, D.; Xu, T.; Fang, G.; Jiang, S.; Wang, G.; Wei, Z.; Wang, Y. Characteristics of Marine Heatwaves in the Japan/East Sea. Remote Sens. 2022, 14, 936. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14040936（第一标注）

6. Zhu, Y., Yao, J., Xu, T., Li, S., Wang, Y., & Wei, Z. 2022. Weakening trend of Luzon Strait overflow transport in the past two decades. Geophysical Research Letters,49,e2021GL097395. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097395 (第一标注)

7. Yuan, S., X. Yan*, L. Zhang*, B. Yang, C. Pang, and D. Hu, 2021： The near-inertial waves observed east of the Philippines. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, doi: 10.1007/s00343-021-1180-0.（第一标注）

8. Fang X*, and Zheng F. 2021. Effect of the air–sea coupled system change on the ENSO evolution from boreal spring. Climate Dynamics, 57: 109-120.（第一标注）

9. Li X, Ding R* and Li J (2022) A New Technique to Quantify the Local Predictability of Extreme Events: The Backward Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponent Method. Front. Environ. Sci. 10:825233. doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.825233（第一标注）

10. Sullivan, A., Zhong, W., Borzelli, G.L.E. et al. Generation of westerly wind bursts by forcing outside the tropics. Sci Rep 11, 912 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-79655-7. （第一标注）

11. Chen JP, Yu J-Y, Chen S, Wang X, Xiao, ZN, Fang S-W (2022) Tropical and subtropical Pacific sources of the asymmetric El Niño-La Niña decay and their future changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL097751. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL097751 （第一标注）

12. Zhang, S., Wang, H., Jiang, H. *, Ma, W., 2021a: Evaluation of ENSO Prediction Skill Changes since 2000 Based on Multimodel Hindcasts. Atmosphere, 12, 365. https:// doi.org/10.3390/atmos12030365. （第一标注）

13. Zhou, Q., and Coauthors, 2021: Using Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation to Generate Initial Perturbations in ENSO Ensemble Forecasts, Weather and Forecasting, 36(2101-2111). （第一标注）

14. Deng, H., Zhang, G., Liu, C., Wu, R., Chen, J., Zhang, Z., Qi, M., Xiang, X., & Han, B. (2022). Assessment on the Water Vapor Flux from Atmospheric Reanalysis Data in the South China Sea on 2019 Summer,Journal of Hydrometeorology, 23(6), 847-858. （第一标注）

15. Zhang, S., Jiang, H., Yin, Y. 2022: Characteristics of Ocean Waves in the Southern Ocean and Seasonal Prediction of Difficulty for the Vessels Crossing the Westerlies. Atmosphere, 13, 916. （第一标注）

16. Zhang L.*, Y. Hui, T. Qu, and D. Hu, 2020, Seasonal variability of subthermocline eddy kinetic energy east of the Philippines, J. Phys. Oceanogr., doi:10.1175/JPO-D-20-0101.1.https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/phoc/aop/JPO-D-20-0101.1/JPO-D-20-0101.1.xml（第二标注）

17. Wang Z., L. Zhang*, Y. Hui, F. Wang, D. Hu, 2022, Two Flavors of Intraseasonal Variability and their Dynamics in the North Equatorial Current/Undercurrent Region, Front. Mar. Sci. ,doi: 10.3389/fmars.2022.845575（第二标注）

18. Chen, N., Fang, X.*, Yu, J.-Y. 2022: A Multiscale Model for El Niño Complexity. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 5(1), 1-13, doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00241-x. （第二标注）

19. Zhang, S., Wang, H., Jiang, H. *, Ma, W., 2021b: Studies of the seasonal prediction of heavy late spring rainfall over southeastern China. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05786-w. （第二标注）

20. Zhao Xia, Dongliang Yuan*, 2021: Evaluation of intraseasonal wind rectiication on recent Indian Ocean dipole events using LICOM, Climate Dynamics, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05943-1.（第三标注）

21. Li X., Yuan D.*, Li Y., Wang Z., Wang J., Hu X., Yang Y., et al. 2021, Moored observations of currents and water mass properties between Talaud and Halmahera Islands at the entrance of the Indonesian seas, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 51(12):3557-3572.（第三标注）

22. Yuan, D.#*, Yin, X.#, Li, X.# et al. A Maluku Sea intermediate western boundary current connecting Pacific Ocean circulation to the Indonesian Throughflow. Nat Commun 13, 2093 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29617-6（第三标注）

23. Zhang, Z., Wang, J.*, & Yuan, D.* (2022). Mixed layer salinity balance in the eastern tropical Indian Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, e2021JC018229. https://doi. org/10.1029/2021JC018229（第三标注）

24. Yuchao Hui; Linlin Zhang*; Zhenxiao Wang; Fan Wang; Dunxin Hu ; 2022:Interannual modulation of subthermocline eddy kinetic energy east of the Philippines. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, e2022JC018452. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018452（第三标注）

25. Hanjie Fan , Song Yang, Chunzai Wang, Yuting Wu, and Guangli Zhang，2022，Strengthening amplitude and impact of the Pacific Meridional Mode on ENSO in the warming climate depicted by CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0683.1。(第四标注)

26. Hao Jiajia, Yuan Dongliang*, Tian Di, Su Jian, Phlmann Thomas, Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under diferent greenhouse gases emission scenarios. 2021,Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06045-8（第四标注）

27. An, B., Y. Q. Yu, Q. Bao, B. He, J. X. Li, Y. H. Luan, K. J. Chen, W. P. ZHENG. 2022: CAS FGOALS-f3-H Dataset for the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) Tier 2. Adv. Atmos. Sci., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2030-5（第五标注）